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	<title>South Side &#187; Byron Buxton</title>
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		<title>Around the AL Central: Tigers&#8217; hitters get hot</title>
		<link>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/02/around-the-al-central-tigers-hitters-get-hot/</link>
		<comments>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/05/02/around-the-al-central-tigers-hitters-get-hot/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 May 2016 18:50:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Collin Whitchurch]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[American League Central]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Byron Buxton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago White Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cleveland Indians]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jose Berrios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kansas City Royals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miguel Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nick Castellanos]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=1621</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Spotlight Detroit Tigers (14-10) Last week: 6-1 (3-1 vs. Oakland; 3-0 @Minnesota) The biggest question about the Tigers’ ability to contend coming into the season was whether some of the Tigers’ stars, nearly all of them at an age where you could realistically expect their output to start to dip, would be able to stay [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="p1"><a href="http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/8/2016/05/Screen-Shot-2016-05-02-at-1.01.14-PM.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1641" src="http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/8/2016/05/Screen-Shot-2016-05-02-at-1.01.14-PM.png" alt="Screen Shot 2016-05-02 at 1.01.14 PM" width="752" height="240" /></a></p>
<h3 class="p1">Spotlight</h3>
<p class="p1"><strong>Detroit Tigers (14-10)</strong><br />
<strong>Last week: 6-1 (3-1 vs. Oakland; 3-0 @Minnesota)</strong></p>
<p class="p1">The biggest question about the Tigers’ ability to contend coming into the season was whether some of the Tigers’ stars, nearly all of them at an age where you could realistically expect their output to start to dip, would be able to stay both healthy and productive enough to keep the team afloat.</p>
<p class="p1">While things have been far from perfect in Detroit throughout the first month of the season, the last week has shown just how good the Tigers can be when everything is clicking.</p>
<p class="p1">Granted, the opposition wasn’t the strongest — Oakland and Minnesota could very well be the two worst teams in the American League this season — but the Tigers have boosted their offense to the top of the league, and an impressive week hasn’t necessarily been a fluke as they currently sport an AL-leading .273 TAv, are tied for the third most home runs in the league, and have a team OPS that ranks just below Baltimore and Boston.</p>
<p class="p1">Detroit employs a “stars and scrubs” lineup, and right now the stars are carrying the load. <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31483" target="_blank">Miguel Cabrera</a> is up to .266/.330/.457 after a slow start, doing as he should this week by mashing on bad pitching. <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1105" target="_blank">Victor Martinez</a> is still OPSing above 1.000, and the real breakout has been <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66955" target="_blank">Nick Castellanos</a>, whose line us up to .361/.371/.590. Despite the fact that he still never walks (three thus far on the season), and while the sample is still small, his TAv is at .322. His BABIP, however, is at .464, so it will be interesting to see how well he keeps producing as his luck on batted balls comes down.</p>
<p class="p1">The offensive production has overshadowed a pitching staff that has been far from impressive thus far. <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57163" target="_blank">Jordan Zimmermann</a> is the obvious outlier, as he’s still allowed just two earned runs through five starts, but the ERAs of <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45613" target="_blank">Justin Verlander</a>, <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=49616" target="_blank">Mike Pelfrey</a> and <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45578" target="_blank">Anibal Sanchez</a> are 5.46, 5.68 and 6.08, respectively. Top prospect <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70445" target="_blank">Michael Fulmer</a> debuted this week and could provide a needed extra arm for the rest of the season. He went five innings in his first start and struck out four while allowing two earned runs on seven hits.</p>
<h3 class="p1">Around the rest of the division</h3>
<p class="p1"><strong>Kansas City Royals (13-11)</strong><br />
<strong>Last week: 1-5 (0-3 @LA Angels; 1-2 @Seattle)</strong></p>
<p class="p1">If not for the Tigers’ hot start, the White Sox’s early lead in the AL Central would likely be even more impressive than it already is. That’s because outside of Detroit, the rest of the division had a terrible week. The Royals went out West, where apparently their Royal Magic isn’t as strong, because if not for a 4-1 victory on Sunday, they would have been swept in six games against the Angels and Mariners. Their run differential dropped to -1 thanks to a week where they scored just 11 runs total and were shut out in back-to-back games against Seattle before Sunday’s victory.</p>
<p class="p1">Overall, Kansas City’s offense has scored just 81 runs this season, worst in the division and tied for second worst in the American League (ahead of just Tampa Bay).</p>
<p class="p1">The ebbs and flows of any season make it foolish to judge a team based on one poor week, and this was undoubtedly the Royals&#8217; worst week of the season. What&#8217;s noteworthy, from the perspective of this site and post, is that the White Sox now have five wins in the bank over the reigning champs.</p>
<p class="p1"><strong>Cleveland Indians (10-12)</strong><br />
<strong>Last week: 1-5 (1-2 @Minnesota; 0-3 @Philadelphia)</strong></p>
<p class="p1">The AL Central Projection Champs got off to a rough start post-<a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47229" target="_blank">Carlos Carrasco</a> injury, but did get good news at the start of the week when they found out the right-hander is expected to miss just 4-6 weeks, when the initial injury looked like he could be out much longer. They also got <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=49264" target="_blank">Michael Brantley</a> back, although the perennial All-Star is still being eased back into the lineup and went 2-for-17 this week.</p>
<p class="p1">There are many concerns in Cleveland, and if they had hoped to tread water during their struggles by beating up on an easy schedule, this week didn&#8217;t do them any favors as the offense failed to put up more than five runs in any of their six games against Minnesota and Philadelphia, two teams expected to be among the worst in baseball this season. Amazingly, however, all five of their losses (and their lone win) were one-run ballgames, suggesting some tough luck has been at play. PECOTA, for what its worth, still likes them, as their Third-Order Win Pct. is still .560 — second best in the division behind the White Sox.</p>
<p class="p1"><strong>Minnesota Twins (7-18)</strong><br />
<strong>Last week: 2-4 (2-1 vs. Cleveland; 0-3 vs. Detroit)</strong></p>
<p class="p1">The Twins are still capital-B Bad, and did some strange things that are difficult to understand this week. They sent <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100631" target="_blank">Byron Buxton</a> back to Triple-A after 49 plate appearances, and while he had been terrible during his short stay, giving your 22-year-old top prospect the Opening Day starting job and then giving up on him after three weeks is maybe not the best plan of action. Along with Buxton, they also sent down <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68091" target="_blank">Max Kepler</a>, who also strangely, sat on the bench for most of his stint with the big club and accrued just 14 big league at-bats.</p>
<p class="p1">After all that, the Twins called up top pitching prospect <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100574" target="_blank">Jose Berrios</a>, a 21-year-old flamethrower who has a chance to become Minnesota&#8217;s best and most electric starting pitcher since <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1513" target="_blank">Johan Santana</a>. While I put this in the plus column because Berrios is, by all accounts, ready to contribute, he lasted just four innings in his debut and give up five earned runs on six hits with five strikeouts and two walks. Hopefully, for the Twins, he gets a longer leash than Buxton.</p>
<p class="p1"><em>Top Photo Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Keeping the Twins Cold &#8211; Game Preview &amp; Lineups 4/11</title>
		<link>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/04/11/keeping-the-twins-cold-game-preview-lineups-411/</link>
		<comments>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/04/11/keeping-the-twins-cold-game-preview-lineups-411/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Apr 2016 16:56:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Collin Whitchurch]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Preview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Eaton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Byron Buxton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Byung-ho Park]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago White Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jose Quintana]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kyle Gibson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Ynoa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miguel Sano]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Twins]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=679</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[After an unexpected day of rest thanks to Sunday&#8217;s rain out against Cleveland, the White Sox hit the road for three games against another division foe, beginning with Monday&#8217;s 3:10 p.m. game against the Twins, the home opener in Minnesota. Minnesota, which went 13-6 against the White Sox in 2015, is off to a terrible [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After an unexpected day of rest thanks to Sunday&#8217;s rain out against Cleveland, the White Sox hit the road for three games against another division foe, beginning with Monday&#8217;s 3:10 p.m. game against the Twins, the home opener in Minnesota.</p>
<p>Minnesota, which went 13-6 against the White Sox in 2015, is off to a terrible start to the season, coming off back-to-back road sweeps against the Orioles and Royals, respectively. Their offense is hitting just .210/.282/.346 in the early going, and youngsters <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67574" target="_blank">Miguel Sano</a> and <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100631" target="_blank">Byron Buxton</a> have combined to for just six hits and 22 strikeouts between them. Couple that with newly-acquired Korean <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=107188" target="_blank">Byung-Ho Park</a>&#8216;s three hits (but with one home run) and 11 additional strikeouts, and you get the makings of, well, an 0-6 record.  Sunday&#8217;s loss was particularly devastating, involving a blown lead, and culminating in a wild pitch-fueled extra innings defeat.</p>
<p>Starting Monday&#8217;s home opener for Minnesota is <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65801" target="_blank">Kyle Gibson</a>, who had a disastrous debut to 2016, walking five, allowing seven hits and four earned runs in a loss to the Orioles last week. Gibson fits in well in the Twins&#8217; stable of soft-tossing, strikeout-deficient pitching staff, as he&#8217;s whiffed just 5.9 hitters per nine innings during his career. In 2015 he was unbelievably effective against the White Sox, however, as in four starts he allowed just four earned runs in 29.2 innings with 23 strikeouts and just two walks.</p>
<p>After his Sunday start was postponed, <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51645" target="_blank">Jose Quintana</a> will get his second start of the season Monday and will look to continue the White Sox&#8217; string of their starters giving up three earned runs or less. In his first start against Oakland last week, he went 5.2 innings (the shortest outing by a White Sox starter through six games) and allowed just two earned runs while striking out seven and walking zero.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67746" target="_blank">Adam Eaton</a> is back after missing Saturday&#8217;s game because of the birth of his first child. He was placed on paternity leave for Sunday&#8217;s game, with reliever <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66678" target="_blank">Michael Ynoa</a> called up to take his place. We hardly knew ye, Ynoa.</p>
<p><strong>White Sox Lineup</strong></p>
<div class="span15">
<div class="dlineups-half">
<div class="dlineups-vplayer">
<div class="dlineups-pos">1. Adam Eaton &#8211; RF</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">2. Jimmy Rollins &#8211; SS</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">3. Jose Abreu &#8211; 1B</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">4. Todd Frazier &#8211; 3B</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">5. Melky Cabrera &#8211; LF</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">6. Brett Lawrie &#8211; 2B</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">7. Avisail Garcia &#8211; DH</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">8. Dioner Navarro &#8211; C</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">9. Austin Jackson &#8211; CF</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos"></div>
<div class="dlineups-pos"></div>
<div class="dlineups-pos"><strong>Twins Lineup</strong></div>
<div class="dlineups-pos"></div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">1. Brian Dozier &#8211; 2B</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">2. Joe Mauer &#8211; 1B</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">3. Miguel Sano &#8211; RF</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">4. Trevor Plouffe &#8211; 3B</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">5. Byung-ho Park &#8211; DH</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">6. Eddie Rosario &#8211; LF</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">7. Eduardo Escobar &#8211; SS</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">8. Kurt Suzuki &#8211; C</div>
<div class="dlineups-pos">9. Byron Buxton &#8211; CF</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>With Eaton back, Ventura has opted to bump <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47939">Austin Jackson</a> back down to the 9-slot, although he has certainly looked promising at the plate so far this season.  Perhaps we can chalk up Ventura&#8217;s intention to start <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58630">Jerry Sands</a> against a RHP on Sunday up to a weird situation &#8211; players constantly exposed to brutally cold weather, Eaton gone for the birth of his child, etc.  I don&#8217;t blame Ventura for wanting to get everybody on the 25-man some playing time, but this would have been his second attempt to do so with Sands against right-handed pitching.  Hopefully that fit of madness has passed, but it is a reminder that Ventura is prone to bouts of inexplicable tactics, and the presence of Rick Renteria may not be enough to stop it.  We dodge the bullet at the outset of today&#8217;s game, at least.</p>
<div class="span15"></div>
<p><em>Top Photo Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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