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	<title>South Side &#187; Victor Martinez</title>
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		<title>Sizing Up The Competition: Detroit Tigers</title>
		<link>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/13/sizing-up-the-competition-detroit-tigers/</link>
		<comments>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2017/02/13/sizing-up-the-competition-detroit-tigers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Feb 2017 14:00:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Nick Schaefer]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[American League Central]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago White Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J.D. Martinez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justin Verlander]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael Fulmer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Miguel Cabrera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Victor Martinez]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=5631</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Typically this time of year, we eagerly check the PECOTA projections to see what it thinks of the White Sox&#8217; chances to compete in the AL Central. For the first time in years, however, competing in the immediate term is irrelevant. While you could certainly debate how to sequence the non-Cleveland teams in the division, [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Typically this time of year, we eagerly check the <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/">PECOTA projections</a> to see what it thinks of the White Sox&#8217; chances to compete in the AL Central. For the first time in years, however, competing in the immediate term is irrelevant. While you could certainly debate how to sequence the non-Cleveland teams in the division, and, say, Detroit&#8217;s chances at a wild card run, but barring some bizarre outlier, Cleveland will run away with the division and that&#8217;s that.</p>
<p>Given the White Sox&#8217; new priorities, the future holds much more interest than the present, and to that end, the White Sox may be positioned very nicely. With just two trades, the farm system has leapt into the top third in the majors, with still more pieces to sell. So, instead, perhaps it makes sense to make some forecasts about what the AL Central might look like when the White Sox are actually good again. First up, the Detroit Tigers.</p>
<p>The Tigers are suffering from the after effects of wringing every last drop of contention out of their aging core for a long, long time. Grabbing <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70445" target="_blank">Michael Fulmer</a> for the tail end of <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=53004" target="_blank">Yoenis Cespedes</a> in a down year was a neat trick, and <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45613" target="_blank">Justin Verlander</a> has corrected course after looking like he might crater two years ago. But <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1105" target="_blank">Victor Martinez</a> and <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59275" target="_blank">J.D. Martinez</a> are rapidly approaching 40 and free agency, respectively, and unfortunately for Detroit they can&#8217;t DH them both. And while historically the Tigers would paper over their lack of any prospects at all with a fire hose of cash, they had already decided to scale back on spending even before the recent death of owner Mike Ilitch.</p>
<p>So now they are left with the money they have already spent and the very old roster they have already assembled, and a still-empty farm.  Their top prospect was in <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=31090">high school last year</a> and projects as a mid-rotation starter, and the system gets less and less inspiring from there.  Even if the White Sox execute a very speedy rebuild and try to contend again by 2018 or 2019, it&#8217;s hard to see what the Tigers will have on hand to stand in their way.  <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31483" target="_blank">Miguel Cabrera</a> will be 35 or 36-years-old by that time, and even solid younger players like <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=61044" target="_blank">Jose Iglesias</a> will be free agents by that time.</p>
<p>Indeed, the way for the Tigers to inject talent back into the ranks would be to trade away players like Verlander, but frankly, the star players they have are all <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JPcuv1u63tSKuyOZs30f0BVlsormd1p5fC39fSr_xqs/pubhtml">owed so much money</a> that they are unlikely to fetch the returns that <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65751" target="_blank">Chris Sale</a> or <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67746" target="_blank">Adam Eaton</a> did.</p>
<p>It would appear that Detroit will be able to muster up one or possibly two more years of making a run at it with this present group, but they are clearly on the wane, and the White Sox have a big head start on the next upswing.</p>
<p><em>Lead Photo Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports</em></p>
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		<title>Chris Sale&#8217;s plan&#8211;whatever it is&#8211;is working</title>
		<link>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/09/01/chris-sales-plan-whatever-it-is-is-working/</link>
		<comments>http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/2016/09/01/chris-sales-plan-whatever-it-is-is-working/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Sep 2016 16:31:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[James Fegan]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Articles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago White Sox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Detroit Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Victor Martinez]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://southside.locals.baseballprospectus.com/?p=4561</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Chris Sale took a funny approach to the beginning of his 26th start of the season: he spent the early part of his day looking like a bad pitcher. His slider floated through the zone, his fastball velocity hovered around 92 mph, which is fine if he&#8217;s locating and playing it off his other devastating [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=SALE19890330A" target="_blank">Chris Sale</a> took a funny approach to the beginning of his 26th start of the season: he spent the early part of his day looking like a bad pitcher.</p>
<p>His slider floated through the zone, his fastball velocity hovered around 92 mph, which is fine if he&#8217;s locating and playing it off his other devastating off-speed pitches, but he was missing by a foot. His changeup, the pitch he&#8217;s been mystifyingly holding back for much of the season for reasons that he&#8217;s kept nestled under his black Sox cap, flowed freely, but it was largely a biteless meatball, and accounted for <a href="http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/pfx.php?s_type=3&amp;sp_type=1&amp;batterX=0&amp;year=2016&amp;month=8&amp;day=31&amp;pitchSel=519242.xml&amp;game=gid_2016_08_31_chamlb_detmlb_1/&amp;prevGame=gid_2016_08_31_chamlb_detmlb_1/" target="_blank">five of the eight hits Sale allowed</a> Wednesday.</p>
<p>With two on and two outs, with a run in already in the fifth inning, Sale&#8211;who led the AL in WHIP coming in, for whatever it&#8217;s worth&#8211;had allowed six hits, walked three and was facing the bane of his existence, <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1105" target="_blank">Victor Martinez</a>.</p>
<p>Which is naturally, in a thoroughly baseball moment, when Sale&#8217;s hard slider that dives into right-handers, showed up to the ballpark and erased Martinez with ease. That set off a streak of seven in a row retired, with Sale striking out the side in the seventh, getting Martinez again in the eighth, only to have <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59275" target="_blank">J.D. Martinez</a> flick a slider at the knees from the outside corner to left field to ultimately tie the game at 2-2 and leave the day in the fate of his unreliable teammates.</p>
<p>This would be the second-straight start where Sale seemingly revved up down the stretch. Against Seattle, after falling down 3-0 last weekend, he retired the last 16 batters he faced and struck out 10. This falls in line with a larger revving up effort, where Sale is putting together the sort of strong second half finish that has eluded him for his career. He has a 2.52 ERA since the break, has allowed just two home runs in 60.2 innings after being plagued by the long ball in the first half, and opposing hitters have seen their OPS against him drop 85 points since the All-Star Game.</p>
<p>Revved up Chris Sale is an undeniable force, and is inevitably the more fun part of the conversation, but not the part of the approach that is inscrutable. Buying into his conservation plan means seeing his punchless openings to games, and seeing some of the dead stretches of the season as some sort of measured effort, or at least a physical limitation to what he can do.</p>
<p>If Sale did anything in the earlygoing Wednesday that looked intentional, he kept the ball down. It was alarming to watch Tigers hitters track his breaking stuff the way they tracked <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68405" target="_blank">Anthony Ranaudo</a> and <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31948" target="_blank">Matt Albers</a> earlier in the week, but it was all at the bottom of the zone, which led to three double plays in the first four innings.</p>
<p>Pitchers, especially all-time great ones, exude a sense of control and intention behind their actions and results, that we would probably never bother extending to others. Ranaudo certainly wouldn&#8217;t engender confidence for sneaking through four scoreless where he didn&#8217;t strike anyone out and got by on double plays, but all season we have been tempted to try to see something in Sale lowering his performance in the traditional way we measure dominance; some sort of indication that he knows how to prevent runs in a way that defies our presumption.</p>
<p>Simply put, we don&#8217;t know. He has results on his side, he has a track record where he could announce that he&#8217;s going to throw with his feet and take it seriously. But most of his bad moments just look like bad command and flat breaking stuff, and pitching to contact against the Tigers lineup feels nothing short of insane.</p>
<p>When people ask the tortured question of what&#8217;s worth watching about the White Sox these days, beyond watching <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102503" target="_blank">Tim Anderson</a> develop, seeing if <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51645" target="_blank">Jose Quintana</a> can keep getting better, finding out the rhyme and reason to what the hell Sale is doing is No. 1. I&#8217;m not there yet, I don&#8217;t even know if I&#8217;m getting closer, but I&#8217;m watching.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>Lead Image Credit: Rick Osentoski // USA Today Sports Images</em></p>
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